This week's AAII survey of investor sentiment showed that 42.1% of respondents were bullish while only 28.4% were bearish (lowest since May 2008). The bull to bear ratio of 1.48:1 is the highest since July. In the chart below, we highlight each week in 2009 where the AAII bull to bear ratio exceeded 1.4. As shown, the only three weeks where this occurred were in late July and early August.
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well done for taking my comments on board. your point is well made though that despite the ratio being high , if last time is any judge, there is no reason for the market not to continue to rally. Time will tell. Your data is only a few months and is AAII. Mine is from Investors Intelligence and my experience goes back to 1984. Why not check out Schaffer's latest post, the data goes back 2 years and illustrates my point.
Posted by: Graham Turner | December 17, 2009 at 12:05 PM