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I came across this paper a few weeks ago on using Google trends to predict events.



Great stuff, it would be interesting to build aggregations and indexes off such queries.

gold and silver blog

A few weeks back, I looked at Google Trends in relation to tops and bottoms for the price of gold.

At the top, there was a huge spike for "sell gold". At the bottom, there was a huge spike for "buy gold".


San Fran Sam

Another thing to keep in mind is that the words "Depression" and "Recession" were not in general use to describe economic conditions. Prior to the 30s, economic set backs were called Panics. as in the Panic of 1907 and the Panic of 1873.


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