Many stories have popped up over the last couple of days about Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner's job security. (Tim Geithner Deathwatch, Analysis: White House, Dems Backpedaling on AIG, 'Complete Confidence' in Geithner). Of course, leave it up to Intrade to release a contract on the matter that people can trade. Intrade currently has two contracts allowing people to bet on Geithner's departure. One is whether he will depart by the end of June, and the other is whether he will depart by the end of 2009. While the contracts have been ticking up in price lately, traders on Intrade aren't betting big yet that his departure is imminent. The contract for Geithner's departure by the end of June is currently putting the odds at 15%, while the end of the year departure odds are higher at 26%.
So what do Bespoke readers think? Please take part in the poll below and we'll report back with the results shortly.
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