The ugly actually came in the Q4 '08 numbers that are now 90% reported. The S&P 500 as a whole has seen earnings decline by 61.5% in Q4 '08 versus the fourth quarter of 2007. Health Care and Consumer Staples were the only two sectors that saw earnings growth. In the first three quarters of 2009, Energy, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary are expected to see earnings decline the most. In the first quarter, not one sector is expected to see year-over-year growth. Hopefully the analysts get it wrong on the downside in 2009 just as they got it wrong by keeping estimates too high in 2008.
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