Following yesterday's sharp sell off in the final minutes of trading, the S&P 500 is now down 45.76% from its October 2007 closing high. On a closing basis, this makes the current period the fourth largest decline in the S&P 500 without a 20% rally. The only three other periods where we had deeper declines were in 1931, 1938, and 1974.
Subscribe to Bespoke Premium to receive more in-depth research from Bespoke.
Uh, the S&P rallied 24% from the Oct 10 low. It bottomed at 829 and rallied to 1044 over the next few days for a 24.43% rally.
Posted by: Dan | October 28, 2008 at 11:25 AM
Excuse me. It bottomed at 839 and hit 1044 on Oct 14th.
Posted by: Dan | October 28, 2008 at 11:26 AM
actually from the 10/10 low to the 2 day later high was more than 20%.
Posted by: clipb | October 28, 2008 at 01:27 PM
Thanks for the comments guys, but as it says in the post, it's on a CLOSING basis. The S&P 500 has not rallied 20% on a CLOSING basis.
Posted by: Paul Hickey | October 28, 2008 at 01:30 PM
Uhh, no. It's the 5th largest decline. You've overlooked the 48.92% decline from the closing high on 9.1.2000 to the closing low on 10.9.2002.
Posted by: ArizonaChartist | October 28, 2008 at 06:44 PM
Arizona Chartist. I'm not sure what you are talking about. Did the S&P 500 peak on 9/1/00? I believe it was in March 2000. Anyways, from September 2001 to January 2002, the S&P 500 rose 21.4%. So the decline from March 2000 to October 2002 was not a decline without a 20% rally.
Posted by: Paul Hickey | October 29, 2008 at 10:17 AM