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What about through the '70s? Any similar stories there?


This analysis would be more useful if it included the top 10 declines. Perhaps the current decline will have more in common with Nos. 6-10, than Nos. 1-4.


GS and Glenn,

The next fastest decline of 15% or more from an all-time high after the current one took about six months. Once we start looking out that long we didn't think it could really be classified as a swift decline.


When the market peaked on March 24, 2000, it only took 21 days to drop -12.1%. The market then recovered over the next 6 months and on September 1, 2000 the S&P closed within 0.5% of the all time high set in March. From there it only took 76 days to drop 15% and you know the rest ... a drop of nearly 50%!

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