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Amrit Pal Singh

One can go through the Estimated Recession Probabilities using the Yield Curve Spread and verify Yield Curve as a Predictor of U.S. Recessions.
According to it market is expecting a recession - this phenomenon is of continuity expectation of recession since end of 2005. The market sentiments is depicting with .4+ probability that there is a recession on the way. There may be different reasons why these sentiments are prevailing – market is the reacting and keeping the recession at bay?

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