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Country P/E Ratios and GDP Growth

We recently gathered the current P/E ratios and year-over-year GDP growth numbers for 22 countries that have trackable ETFs.  For P/E ratios we used each country's major equity market index.  We then calculated the PEG ratio for the country as a whole by dividing the P/E ratio by the GDP growth.  As shown below, Singapore currently has the lowest PEG (P/E/GDP) at 1.43, with a P/E of 12.69 and GDP of 8.90%.  Singapore is followed by Russia, Malaysia and South Africa.  At the bottom of the list with the highest country PEG ratios are the US, Italy and Japan.  The S&P 500 has a P/E ratio of 18.39 and GDP growth of just 2.8%.  The country with the lowest P/E ratio is Sweden, but its GDP growth is 2.6%, so it is right in the middle of the pack as far as PEGs go.  The country with the highest P/E by far is China, but its strong GDP growth gives it a PEG of 3.96.

Pegrowth1

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Comments

Great compilation of statistics - very interesting the value of PE/GDP. - makes one realize that US P/E ratios are not only higher than most of their OECD peers, but also way-way out of line with the current GDP growth.
Would have been even more interesting if the consensus expected growth for the next year was included

Investors are aware of the inverse relationship between inflation and P/E ratios. Not many know that relative inflation affects the Earnings-Yield to Bond Yield ratio. As the PPI rise faster than CPI, the EY-to-BY ratio also increases.
This translates to lower P/E's.
You can see this graphically at
"Inflation, the Fed and P/E Contraction"

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